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| An election campaign meeting in Kuwait City late on November 23, 2016 (AFP Photo/Yasser Al-Zayyat) |
Kuwaitis vote on Saturday for a new parliament they hope
will halt austerity measures forced by falling oil revenues in the
emirate, known for its cradle-to-grave welfare system.
With
the return of opposition groups after a four-year boycott, the outcome
of the snap elections is seen as crucial for shaping the domestic
politics of the oil-rich Gulf state.
The
seventh polls in a decade follow one of the most intense election
campaigns seen in Kuwait, with opposition and pro-government candidates
trading barbs over corruption and other allegations.
The
opposition is being tipped to make a strong showing, with many members
of the previous parliament expected to lose their seats, but is likely
to fall well short of a majority.
"The return of opposition groups is the most significant development in this election," said analyst Ayed al-Manna.
"The
opposition comeback could lead to a national reconciliation after years
of bitter disputes," the political scientist told AFP.
Kuwait's
parliament is considered the most powerful in the Gulf Arab states
thanks to its legislative and
monitoring capacities, but most of the
political clout still lies with the ruling family.
Emir
Sheikh Sabah al-Ahmad Al-Sabah, 87, dissolved the parliament in October
after a dispute between lawmakers and the government over petrol price
hikes of up to about 80 percent.
The
government said the move was taken to reduce subsidies, boost non-oil
revenues and plug the emirate's first budget deficit after 16 years of
surpluses.
Economic
issues dominated the campaign but other issues like political reforms
and public freedoms were also highlighted by the 300 candidates who
include 14 women.
Many
running for office lashed out at the government for raising charges and
fuel prices while failing to fight corruption. They have pledged to
prohibit such hikes.
- Police state? -
Almost
all opposition groups boycotted the previous two elections, in December
2012 and July 2013, in protest after the government unilaterally
amended the voting system.
Around
30 opposition candidates, including several former MPs, and a number of
their allies are vying for places in the 50-seat parliament.
Political
analyst Anwar al-Rasheed said he expects that "between 70 percent and
90 percent of the outgoing lawmakers will not be re-elected because the
voters are very upset with their performance."
He
said the dissolved assembly approved a number of highly controversial
and repressive laws to control online freedom, DNA testing and extending
preventive detention.
Several candidates charged those measures, along with the government crackdown on dissent, made Kuwait look like a police state.
Analyst
Dahem al-Qahtani said he expects the opposition to win about 15 seats,
with some eight supporters, making a very strong bloc in the next
parliament.
"This
will reduce the government and its supporters into a fragile majority, a
major cause for political instability," Qahtani told AFP.
Under
Kuwait's unique parliamentary system, political parties are banned and
regardless of who wins in the polls, the next prime minister will be a
senior member of the Al-Sabah ruling family, in power for more than 250
years.
Under
the 1962 constitution, the emir, crown prince, prime minister and key
ministerial posts are all members of the ruling family.
In
addition, members of the cabinet are appointed from outside parliament
but they enjoy rights almost equal to those of elected MPs, boosting the
government grip on the house.
Kuwait,
which sits on seven percent of the world's proven crude reserves, was
seen in neighbouring Gulf states as a beacon of democracy with its
vibrant parliament, introduced in 1962, and freedom of speech.
But
this image has been shattered by non-stop wrangling over the past
decade in the country, home to about 4.4 million people including 3.1
million foreigners.
During the campaign, several candidates accused some members of the ruling family of interfering in the election.
"Kuwaitis
are paying the price of the disputes within the ruling family for
controlling government," former MP Ahmad al-Qhudhaibi told a rally.

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